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Why did Keir Starmer resign and what could happen next?

Sir Keir Starmer has announced his resignation as Labour leader, bringing his time at the helm of both the Labour Party and the UK government to an end.

Although he is stepping down, Starmer confirmed he will remain prime minister until Labour selects a new leader, ensuring what he described as an orderly transfer of power.

Why Starmer Stepped Down

Pressure on Starmer had been mounting for months following a collapse in Labour’s poll ratings and growing unrest within the party. His leadership also came under intense scrutiny over a series of controversies, including criticism surrounding his appointment of Peter Mandelson as Britain’s ambassador to the United States.

Labour’s poor performance in the May elections to local councils in England and the devolved parliaments in Scotland and Wales proved to be a major turning point. Many Labour MPs had viewed those elections as Starmer’s final opportunity to demonstrate that he could reverse the party’s declining fortunes.

Instead, the results intensified internal dissatisfaction. Health Secretary Wes Streeting resigned shortly afterwards, followed by several junior ministers. The departures fuelled speculation that Starmer’s leadership was becoming unsustainable.

The political pressure increased further when a Labour MP allied with Andy Burnham resigned from Parliament, triggering a by-election in Makerfield. The vacancy gave Burnham, then serving as Mayor of Greater Manchester, the opportunity to return to Westminster.

Starmer had previously blocked Burnham from standing in a separate by-election earlier in the year. However, by this stage, his authority within the party had weakened significantly, making it impossible to prevent Burnham’s return.

The situation worsened when Defence Secretary John Healey resigned following a long-running dispute over defence spending plans. Healey’s departure was viewed by many as another sign that Starmer’s grip on the party was slipping.

Burnham’s Victory Changed Everything

The decisive moment came when Andy Burnham won the Makerfield by-election with a commanding result, increasing Labour’s majority over Reform UK and reinforcing his position as the party’s most credible alternative leader.

Many Labour MPs saw Burnham’s victory as evidence that he could reconnect with voters and revive Labour’s electoral prospects ahead of the next general election.

Initially, Starmer insisted he would fight any challenge to his leadership. Despite private appeals from several cabinet ministers urging him to step aside, he publicly maintained that he intended to remain in office.

However, after spending the weekend reflecting on his position, Starmer concluded that he no longer had sufficient support among Labour MPs to successfully defend his leadership.

How Labour Will Choose Its Next Leader

An official timetable is yet to be formally published, but Starmer revealed that nominations for the leadership contest will open on 9 July and close on 16 July.

Under Labour Party rules, candidates must secure nominations from at least 81 Labour MPs. They must also obtain backing from either 32 local Labour branches or three affiliated organisations, including at least two trade unions.

If more than one candidate qualifies, Labour members and affiliated supporters will vote to select the next leader before Parliament returns from its summer recess on 1 September.

Could Andy Burnham Become Prime Minister Without a Contest?

Burnham has already confirmed that he intends to run for the Labour leadership and is widely believed to have enough support to secure a place on the ballot.

In a significant development, Wes Streeting ruled himself out of the race shortly after Starmer’s resignation and publicly endorsed Burnham.

No other major Labour figure has yet declared their candidacy.

If Burnham becomes the only candidate to secure the required nominations, he would automatically become Labour leader without a membership vote. In that scenario, he could enter Downing Street as prime minister as early as mid-July, less than a month after returning to Parliament.

The possibility of such a rapid transition has led some Labour MPs to call on Burnham to provide more detail about his policy agenda before taking office.

What Happens Next?

Starmer has promised an orderly transition, but questions remain about how government business will proceed during the leadership change.

A planned NATO summit and a long-awaited defence spending announcement now face uncertainty. A UK-EU summit originally scheduled for later in July has already been postponed following the resignation announcement.

Will There Be a General Election?

No.

Under the UK’s parliamentary system, the prime minister is not elected directly by the public. Instead, the leader of the party that commands a majority in the House of Commons becomes prime minister.

Since Labour retains a large parliamentary majority, the party can replace its leader without calling a general election.

This means that if Andy Burnham becomes Labour leader, he would automatically become prime minister without the public returning to the polls.

Although opposition parties, particularly Reform UK, are already demanding a snap election, there is no legal requirement for one. The next general election does not have to take place until 2029.

The coming weeks will determine whether Labour holds a formal leadership contest or whether Andy Burnham’s path to Downing Street becomes a swift and uncontested transition.


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